← Race to the Major

NEXVOID

Asia-Pacific #9
0 stage 31 stage 24 stage 1
AccuracyTG · erkaSt · MiQ · xerolte · Zesta
Outside the profile on three of seven. Below it on bounty offered, opponent network and LAN wins.Band is the other 5 Asia-Pacific sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on four of seven since the 7 September release. Down on activity, win rate and head to head.Dashed is NEXVOID's own profile on 7 Sep · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered44 Bounty collected49 Opponent network41 LAN wins37 Activity62 Win rate62 Head to head86
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among each region's top 40
6%
Chance of a place
at the Major
NEXVOID are 9th, 4 places outside the 5, 116 points behind 5star
Chance of the Major · Our simulation to the 2 Nov cut
Asia-Pacific standing
9th
  1. 7Chinggis Warriors
  2. 8DEPO
  3. 9NEXVOID
  4. 10THUNDER dOWNUNDER
  5. 11The Huns
4 places outside the Major
VRS points
995
World #113 · 116 behind 5star
Since April
8th to 9th
Peaked 6th · Valve's standings
Next match
vs Rare Atom
1day away
Oct 23 · BO3 · VOID Autumn Cup 2026
// Act one

The verdict

Asia-Pacific has 5 slots: 1st place enters at Stage 2; 2nd to 5th start in Stage 1. NEXVOID are 9th, 4 places outside.

6% NEXVOID are 9th, 4 places outside the 5, 116 points behind 5star Chance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 5 Oct 2026

Who they are racing

Asia-Pacific · 5 slots
CutTeamTodayMajor
1The MongolZ1 · 1–22, 1 place up at the cut>99
Stage 2 line
2BC.Game2 · 1–23, 1 place up at the cut>99
3Chinggis Warriors3 · 3–67, 4 places up at the cut87
4TYLOO4 · 3–61, 3 places down at the cut78
5FlyQuest5 · 3–76, 1 place up at the cut68
The cut · top 5 go
65star5 · 4–75, 1 place down at the cut51
7Lynn Vision7 · 5–84, 3 places down at the cut10
8NEXVOID7 · 6–89, 1 place up at the cut6
9DEPO9 · 9–118, 1 place down at the cut<1
10THUNDER dOWNUNDER14 · 10–1510<1

In the order of their chance of the Major, our simulation's, as Race to the Major orders them; beside each, its median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs put it in. Today is Valve's standing, and the arrow how far the order by chance moves them.

FlyQuest and Chinggis Warriors come up into the 5, Lynn Vision and 5star fall out.

TodayValve's Regional Standings, 5 Oct
1TYLOO1,340
3BC.Game1,318
55star1,111
6FlyQuest1,093
8DEPO1,041
9NEXVOID995
At the cutOurs · ordered by chance of the Major · median place and range
4TYLOO4 · 3–678%
1The MongolZ1 · 1–2>99%
2BC.Game2 · 1–2>99%
7Lynn Vision7 · 5–810%
65star5 · 4–751%
5FlyQuest5 · 3–768%
3Chinggis Warriors3 · 3–687%
9DEPO9 · 9–11<1%
8NEXVOID7 · 6–86%
10THUNDER dOWNUNDER14 · 10–15<1%
NEXVOIDComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut

FlyQuest and Chinggis Warriors come up into the 5, Lynn Vision and 5star fall out.

How these numbers are made
  • Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their chance of the Major, as Race to the Major orders them, with each one's median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs fall in. A club further down Valve's standings is listed when its median place reaches the figure.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.

Their calendar to the cut

Events they are known to play
VOID Autumn Cup 2026Oct 20 – Oct 24 · Tier C · LAN 0impact
DFRAG Invitational 2026Oct 26 – Nov 1 · Tier B · LAN 5impact
NEXVOID#9 Asia-Pacific 6%now 2%10%
// Act two

How they got here

39 matches in Valve's six-month window, 24 won, across 13 events, every figure Valve's own, from the published standings. 3 events since Valve's 5 Oct release are not in its numbers yet; they come first, with bo3's results and our estimate.

Since Valve's 5 Oct release · not counted yet
Counted by Valve · head to head
20 Oct – 22 Oct
VOID Autumn Cup 2026
The event's page →
Under way· Valve counts an event once it has finished; its next release is due 2 Nov
Record2–1
Finish—
Prize—
3 matches
W MorningstarOct 22 2–0
L Chinggis WarriorsOct 21 1–2
W Vitalem AeremOct 20 2–1

Valve's head-to-head change per match, and which of its counting slots these results take, come with its release. Our estimate of what the event does to the points follows once it has finished.

15 Oct – 18 Oct
Logitech G Pro Series 2026
The event's page →
Not in Valve's numbers yet· Valve counts an event once it has finished; its next release is due 2 Nov
Record5–1
Finish—
Prize—
≈+135pts
Our estimate · not Valve's
Asia-Pacific #8 either way.
6 matches
W FlyQuestOct 18 2–1
W Off ChopsOct 18 2–0
L FlyQuestOct 17 1–2
W Off ChopsOct 17 2–0
W RoosterOct 15 2–0
W MindfreakOct 15 2–0

Our estimate projects Valve's 5 Oct standings to the event's last day with every match and prize known since, once with the event and once without; the difference is this event's. Valve's head-to-head change per match, and which of its counting slots these results take, come with its release. Two events' estimates do not add up exactly.

8 Oct – 11 Oct
MESA Pro Series Fall 2026
The event's page →
Not in Valve's numbers yet· Valve counts an event once it has finished; its next release is due 2 Nov
Record1–2
Finish3rd
Prize$375
≈+42pts
Our estimate · not Valve's
Asia-Pacific #9 without it, #8 with it.
3 matches
L Chinggis WarriorsOct 11 1–2
L 5starOct 10 1–2
W The HunsOct 8 2–0

Our estimate projects Valve's 5 Oct standings to the event's last day with every match and prize known since, once with the event and once without; the difference is this event's. Valve's head-to-head change per match, and which of its counting slots these results take, come with its release. Two events' estimates do not add up exactly.

1 Oct – 3 Oct
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–2
Head to head-32.69
Still counts100%
3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L The HunsOct 3A loss -19.36
W 1337Oct 2Bounty collectedOpponent networkLAN wins #1 +1.21
L Chinggis WarriorsOct 1A loss -14.54
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 1 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

29 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+1.20
Still counts100%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W SpaceSep 29Bounty collectedOpponent networkLAN wins #2 +1.20
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 1 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

22 Sep – 29 Sep
ESL Challenger League Season 52: Asia - Cup 2
The event's page →
Record5–1
Head to head+38.08
Still counts100%
6 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W Lynn VisionSep 29Bounty collected #1Opponent network #6LAN wins #3 +23.36
W The HunsSep 28Bounty collected #6Opponent network #3LAN wins #4 +12.43
L Lynn VisionSep 27A loss -7.23
W LegionSep 25Bounty collectedOpponent networkLAN wins #5 +2.28
W Just SwingSep 23Bounty collectedOpponent network #9LAN wins #6 +6.14
W bLight blueSep 22Bounty collectedOpponent networkLAN wins #7 +1.10
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins5 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 10 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

9 Sep – 10 Sep
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: East Asian Qualifier
The event's page →
Record2–2
Head to head+38.57
Still counts100%
4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L TYLOOSep 10A loss -4.05
W 5starSep 10Bounty collected #3Opponent networkLAN wins #8 +23.01
L TYLOOSep 9A loss -3.61
W 5starSep 9Bounty collected #4Opponent networkLAN wins #9 +23.22
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

It holds 4 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

31 Aug – 3 Sep
FISSURE Playground 3 Asia Closed Qualifier
The event's page →
Record2–2
Head to head-7.45
Still counts98%
4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Chinggis WarriorsSep 3A loss -12.10
W KaleidoSep 1Bounty collected #5Opponent network #1LAN wins #10 +6.82
L 5starSep 1A loss -9.36
W Just SwingAug 31Bounty collected #9Opponent network #2LAN wins +7.19
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 5 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

2 Sep
Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Asian Qualifier
The event's page →
Record0–2
Head to head-17.40
Still counts98%
2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Lynn VisionSep 2A loss -6.03
L FlyQuestSep 2A loss -11.37
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -17.40.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

25 Aug – 1 Sep
ESL Challenger League Season 52: Asia - Cup 1
The event's page →
Record5–0
Head to head+40.01
Still counts97%
5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W Rare AtomSep 1Bounty collected #7Opponent network #4LAN wins +11.79
W Rare AtomAug 30Bounty collected #8Opponent network #5LAN wins +10.84
W Chinggis WarriorsAug 28A win outside the ten best +5.98
W Alter EgoAug 26A win outside the ten best +9.12
W The KnockoutXAug 25A win outside the ten best +2.28
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

It holds 4 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

23 Aug – 24 Aug
Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Asian Open Qualifier
The event's page →
Record1–1
Head to head-15.26
Still counts92%
2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W Chinggis WarriorsAug 24A win outside the ten best +5.91
L KaleidoAug 23A loss -21.17
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -15.26.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

22 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-22.22
Still counts91%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Alter EgoAug 22A loss -22.22
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -22.22.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

23 Jul – 25 Jul
MESA Pro Series 2026 Summer
Record3–0
Head to head+46.26
Still counts72%

These results are down to 72% of their original weight.

3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W The HunsJul 25Bounty collected #10Opponent network #7LAN wins +13.79
W The HunsJul 24Bounty collectedOpponent network #8LAN wins +14.00
W 5starJul 23Bounty collected #2Opponent network #10LAN wins +18.47
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

It holds 5 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

11 May – 12 May
Asian Champions League 2026
Record0–2
Head to head-8.04
Still counts23%

These results are down to 23% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L FlyQuestMay 12A loss -2.67
L Chinggis WarriorsMay 11A loss -5.37
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -8.04.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

26 Apr – 3 May
ESL Challenger League Season 51: Asia - Cup 4
Record4–1
Head to head+2.59
Still counts17%

These results are down to 17% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L TYLOOMay 3A loss -0.73
W Chinggis WarriorsMay 1A win outside the ten best +1.04
W The HunsApr 29A win outside the ten best +0.92
W KaleidoApr 27A win outside the ten best +1.04
W BORING PLAYERSApr 26A win outside the ten best +0.32
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by +2.59.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

8 Apr
ESL Challenger League Season 51: Asia - Cup 3
Record0–1
Head to head0.00
Still counts0%

These results are down to 0% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Chinggis WarriorsApr 8A loss 0.00
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by 0.00.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 5 October 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The events since that release are bo3's results and prize tables, and the estimate is ours: Valve's standings projected to the event's end with and without it. It is replaced by Valve's own figures once Valve publishes them.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For NEXVOID that is 931.0 plus 63.6.

The two parts

Valve's · release 5 Oct 2026
Starting value931.0
+
Head to head+63.6
=
Points995

The head-to-head correction is 6.4% of the total.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.386median 0.390
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.347median 0.344
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.130median 0.159
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.200median 0.435
NEXVOIDMedian of the 10 chasing the slots in Asia-Pacific
The four factors0.386 + 0.347 + 0.130 + 0.200
Their average÷ 4 = 0.266
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.266 ÷ 0.800 × 1,600 = 931.5
  • 0.800 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 380 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 931.0; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

NEXVOID: Above the median of the 10 chasing the slots on bounty collected, below on bounty offered, opponent network and LAN wins.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating
Our Elo, per map1,562
Rank by our Elo68 of 560
Valve's world standing113

Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →

The last 30 matches Valve counted · oldest first
W W L L W W W W W W L W W L L L W L W L W W W L W W W L W L
Every match by opponent strength

None of the 39 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.