// Event · Tier C

VOID Autumn Cup 2026

20 Oct – 24 Oct 2026 LAN 8 teams $12,000 prize pool 9 days before the cut
Race impact ?
0
Little effect on the race

Why it matters

Facts beside our number
Valve's event weight
0.34
From its prize pool, $12,000, through Valve's curve. It scales what every result here is worth.
Teams in the race known to attend
3
Chinggis WarriorsLynn VisionNEXVOID
Between 1 and 99% for the Major, on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures.
Timing
9 days before the cut
TodayCut · 2 Nov
Everything here still counts on the day.

Race impact is ours: how many points of Major chance this event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race. For each team, how likely a top-half or a bottom-half finish is here in our runs, and how far apart its chance of the Major is after each. After the cut it is 0.

Who it matters to

3 teams in the race known to attend

Each team's chance of the Major today, and after each finish here, from our simulation's runs. The first figure is where they stand today.

TeamTodayWhen it pays off

In our runs where they lose the final, their usual finish here: 88%. Anything else is too rare to measure.

Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
88%
0 points
Win it
—
too few runs

In our runs Chinggis Warriors stay at or below the 88% they hold today, whatever their finish here.

First match: vs Lynn Vision, 23 Oct Chinggis Warriors's page →

In our runs where they win it, their usual finish here: 10%. Anything else is too rare to measure.

Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
10%
0 points

In our runs Lynn Vision stay at or below the 10% they hold today, whatever their finish here.

First match: vs Chinggis Warriors, 23 Oct Lynn Vision's page →

In our runs where they go out in the semi-finals, their usual finish here: 6%. Anything else is too rare to measure.

Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
6%
0 points
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs

In our runs NEXVOID stay at or below the 6% they hold today, whatever their finish here.

First match: vs Rare Atom, 23 Oct NEXVOID's page →

Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.

Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Alter Ego's page →

Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.

Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
First match: vs NEXVOID, 23 Oct Rare Atom's page →

Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.

Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Vitalem Aerem's page →

The field

8 known · in the race · strongest first, by our Elo
1 In the race, 10% for the Major: Lynn VisionAP #4 · Elo 1,642 2 In the race, 6% for the Major: NEXVOIDAP #9 · Elo 1,562 3 Alter EgoAP #14 · Elo 1,540 4 In the race, 88% for the Major: Chinggis WarriorsAP #7 · Elo 1,537 5 Rare AtomAP #12 · Elo 1,483
6 MorningstarOutside the top 40 · Elo 1,465
7 Vitalem AeremAP #18 · Elo 1,383
8 Wept Xyloid MelancholyOutside the top 40 · Elo 1,335
In the race · 10%
Lynn Vision
Asia-Pacific #4
Elo 1,642 · 33rd
In the race · 6%
NEXVOID
Asia-Pacific #9
Elo 1,562 · 67th
Alter Ego
Asia-Pacific #14
Elo 1,540 · 80th
In the race · 88%
Chinggis Warriors
Asia-Pacific #7
Elo 1,537 · 81st
Rare Atom
Asia-Pacific #12
Elo 1,483 · 112th
Morningstar
Outside the top 40
Elo 1,465 · 126th
Vitalem Aerem
Asia-Pacific #18
Elo 1,383 · 236th
Wept Xyloid Melancholy
Outside the top 40
Elo 1,335 · 397th
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 23 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.