← Race to the Major

LFO 8

Asia-Pacific #30
0 stage 31 stage 24 stage 1
c4put · junn · Mingovi · Supers · Zoot
Outside the profile on five of seven. Below it on bounty offered, bounty collected, opponent network, LAN wins and win rate.Band is the other 5 Asia-Pacific sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on five of seven since the 7 September release. Down on bounty offered.Dashed is LFO 8's own profile on 7 Sep · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered7 Bounty collected10 Opponent network11 LAN wins9 Activity29 Win rate10 Head to head31
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among each region's top 40
<1%
Chance of a place
at the Major
LFO 8 are 30th, 25 places outside the 5, 509 points behind 5star
Chance of the Major · Our simulation to the 2 Nov cut
Asia-Pacific standing
30th
  1. 28Mindfreak
  2. 29XDM
  3. 30LFO 8
  4. 32Ding Cuts
25 places outside the Major
VRS points
602
World #279 · 509 behind 5star
Out of the race

Under 1% for the Major in our runs. 509 points behind 5star in the last seat today; a median 26th at the cut.

// Act one

The verdict

Asia-Pacific has 5 slots: 1st place enters at Stage 2; 2nd to 5th start in Stage 1. LFO 8 are 30th, 25 places outside.

<1% LFO 8 are 30th, 25 places outside the 5, 509 points behind 5star Chance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 5 Oct 2026

Who they are racing

Asia-Pacific · 5 slots
CutTeamTodayMajor
1The MongolZ1 · 1–22, 1 place up at the cut>99
Stage 2 line
2BC.Game2 · 1–23, 1 place up at the cut>99
3Chinggis Warriors3 · 3–67, 4 places up at the cut87
4TYLOO4 · 3–61, 3 places down at the cut78
5FlyQuest5 · 3–76, 1 place up at the cut68
The cut · top 5 go
65star5 · 4–75, 1 place down at the cut51
7Lynn Vision7 · 5–84, 3 places down at the cut10
8NEXVOID7 · 6–89, 1 place up at the cut6
9DEPO9 · 9–118, 1 place down at the cut<1
10THUNDER dOWNUNDER14 · 10–1510<1
11LFO 826 · 23–2830, 19 places up at the cut<1

In the order of their chance of the Major, our simulation's, as Race to the Major orders them; beside each, its median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs put it in. Today is Valve's standing, and the arrow how far the order by chance moves them.

FlyQuest and Chinggis Warriors come up into the 5, Lynn Vision and 5star fall out.

TodayValve's Regional Standings, 5 Oct
1TYLOO1,340
2The MongolZ1,318
3BC.Game1,318
4Lynn Vision1,190
55star1,111
6FlyQuest1,093
7Chinggis Warriors1,084
8DEPO1,041
9NEXVOID995
10THUNDER dOWNUNDER971
30LFO 8602
At the cutOurs · ordered by chance of the Major · median place and range
4TYLOO4 · 3–678%
1The MongolZ1 · 1–2>99%
2BC.Game2 · 1–2>99%
7Lynn Vision7 · 5–810%
65star5 · 4–751%
5FlyQuest5 · 3–768%
3Chinggis Warriors3 · 3–687%
9DEPO9 · 9–11<1%
8NEXVOID7 · 6–86%
10THUNDER dOWNUNDER14 · 10–15<1%
11LFO 826 · 23–28<1%
LFO 8Comes up across the cutFalls outThe cut

FlyQuest and Chinggis Warriors come up into the 5, Lynn Vision and 5star fall out.

How these numbers are made
  • Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their chance of the Major, as Race to the Major orders them, with each one's median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs fall in. A club further down Valve's standings is listed when its median place reaches the figure.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.

Their calendar to the cut

Events they are known to play

No event before the cut where they are known to play.

// Act two

How they got here

27 matches in Valve's six-month window, 11 won, across 12 events, every figure Valve's own, from the published standings.

22 Sep – 26 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record3–2
Head to head+28.45
Still counts100%
5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L RoosterSep 26A loss -10.88
W MindfreakSep 25Bounty collected #1Opponent network #1LAN wins #1 +17.36
W FrujuSep 24Bounty collected #3Opponent network #8LAN wins #2 +7.52
L FlyQuestSep 23A loss -2.04
W MARKandLARRYSep 22Bounty collected #4Opponent network #3LAN wins #3 +16.49
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected3 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins3 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 9 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

14 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-17.74
Still counts100%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L madlikewizardsSep 14A loss -17.74
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -17.74.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

9 Sep – 10 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record2–2
Head to head+9.40
Still counts100%
4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W MindfreakSep 10Bounty collected #2Opponent network #2LAN wins #4 +19.69
L FinishersSep 9A loss -19.47
L FlyQuestSep 9A loss -1.95
W FinishersSep 9Bounty collected #5Opponent network #4LAN wins #5 +11.13
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

It holds 6 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

4 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–1
Head to head-10.96
Still counts100%
2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W BGNS OrangeSep 4Bounty collected #6Opponent network #9LAN wins #6 +7.87
L madlikewizardsSep 4A loss -18.83
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

28 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-14.51
Still counts95%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L MARKandLARRYAug 28A loss -14.51
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -14.51.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

26 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-5.27
Still counts93%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Ground ZeroAug 26A loss -5.27
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -5.27.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

17 Jul
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-12.59
Still counts67%

These results are down to 67% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L ex-ArcadeJul 17A loss -12.59
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -12.59.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

17 Jul
HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026
Record0–1
Head to head-1.88
Still counts66%

These results are down to 66% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L FlyQuestJul 17A loss -1.88
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -1.88.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

10 Jun – 17 Jun
DFRAG Open Series 5
Record2–3
Head to head-4.55
Still counts47%

These results are down to 47% of their original weight.

5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L RoosterJun 17A loss -5.38
W MARKandLARRYJun 16Bounty collected #7Opponent network #5LAN wins #7 +7.05
L RoosterJun 15A loss -5.20
W Ding CutsJun 12Bounty collected #8Opponent network #6LAN wins #8 +6.21
L Ding CutsJun 10A loss -7.23
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

It holds 6 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

11 Jun
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+2.98
Still counts43%

These results are down to 43% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W Masked RegimeJun 11Bounty collected #9Opponent network #10LAN wins #9 +2.98
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

10 Apr – 17 Apr
DFRAG Open Series 4
Record0–3
Head to head-2.16
Still counts6%

These results are down to 6% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L AbyssalApr 17A loss -0.84
L Ding CutsApr 17A loss -1.10
L AbyssalApr 10A loss -0.22
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -2.16.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

10 Apr – 11 Apr
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record2–0
Head to head+0.35
Still counts2%

These results are down to 2% of their original weight: almost out of the window.

2 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W ex-ArcadeApr 11Bounty collected #10Opponent network #7LAN wins #10 +0.23
W MGLBROSApr 10A win outside the ten best +0.12
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 5 October 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For LFO 8 that is 630.6 minus 28.5.

The two parts

Valve's · release 5 Oct 2026
Starting value630.6
+
Head to head−28.5
=
Points602

The head-to-head correction is 4.7% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.243median 0.386
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.205median 0.340
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.014median 0.157
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.000median 0.400
LFO 8Median of the 11 chasing the slots in Asia-Pacific
The four factors0.243 + 0.205 + 0.014 + 0.000
Their average÷ 4 = 0.115
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.115 ÷ 0.800 × 1,600 = 631.0
  • 0.800 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 380 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 630.6; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

LFO 8: Below the median of the 11 chasing the slots on all four factors.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating

We have no Elo for LFO 8: it ranks clubs with a match in the last 90 days.

The last 27 matches Valve counted · oldest first
L W W L L L W W L W L L L L L L W W L L W L W L W W L
Every match by opponent strength

None of the 27 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.