// Event · Tier S
BLAST Open Fall 2026
26 Aug – 6 Sep 2026
LAN
$1,100,000 prize pool Finished
No forecast of ours was made before it started.
How it finished
Winners and losers
Spirit won the tournament, but Vitality gained more from it: 108 points against 38. What counts is whom you beat and what it replaced in your ten best.
FUT
2–2Quarter-final
Inner Circle
1–2Out before the quarter-finals
G2
3–2Quarter-final
MOUZ
4–1Final
Spirit
5–0Winner
Legacy
1–2Out before the quarter-finals
Vitality
4–2Semi-final
FURIA
2–2Quarter-final
Falcons
3–2Semi-final
M80
1–2Out before the quarter-finals
Aurora
2–2Quarter-final
DENDELE
0–2Out before the quarter-finals
Lynn Vision
0–2Out before the quarter-finals
paiN
0–2Out before the quarter-finals
Natus Vincere
1–2Out before the quarter-finals
9z
0–2Out before the quarter-finals
How these numbers are made
- Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 22 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
- Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
- Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
- Points are Valve's change between its releases of 3 August and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
- The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.