← all matches · BLAST Open Fall 2026 · August 27, 2026

MOUZ vs 9z

MOUZ
2
BO3
9z
0

MOUZ beat 9z 2–0 at BLAST Open Fall 2026 on August 27, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map MOUZ 9z Winner
1 Cache 13 4 MOUZ
2 Nuke 13 7 MOUZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured MOUZ at 53% going in, and the result moved their rating +16 points to 1,573 as it stood that day. Beating an opponent you were expected to beat shifts a rating very little; the swing is in the surprises.

MOUZ came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

MOUZ Elo after
1,573
+16 from this match
9z Elo after
1,519
-16 from this match
Model call going in
53%
MOUZ to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapMOUZ9z
Cache 1–0
Nuke 7–1 3–2

Form going in

MOUZ

L vs FUT Aug 21
W vs GamerLegion Aug 19
W vs PARIVISION Aug 16
L vs FUT Aug 14
W vs Lynn Vision Aug 12

9z

L vs magic Aug 16
L vs FURIA Aug 15
W vs paiN Aug 12
W vs PARIVISION Jul 12
W vs Alliance Jul 11

About these numbers

The Elo figures above are our own opponent-weighted rating, not an official one: every team starts at 1500 and points move from loser to winner in proportion to how surprising the result was, weighted by the map margin. That is why a favourite beating an underdog barely moves the table while an upset swings it hard. The method, and how often the model has been right, are both written up on the prediction accuracy page.

These are the ratings as they stood on the day, replayed from the results available at the time — not the teams' ratings today. That is the point: it is what this result was worth when it happened. For where the two sides stand now, the live ladder is on strength ratings, which uses a shorter recent-form window and will read differently for an older match.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.