// Event · Tier S

StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026

17 Sep – 20 Sep 2026 LAN $500,000 prize pool Finished
Winner
Vitality
4–1 · Europe #2

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
Vitality
4–1Europe #2
Final
Aurora
3–1Europe #7
Semi-final
FURIA
3–2Americas #2
Semi-final
MIBR
2–2Americas #3

Winners and losers

Valve's points · release of 5 Oct
MIBR 2–2Semi-final +177
Aurora 3–1Final +163
NRG 1–2Quarter-final +155
magic 0–2Quarter-final +87
FURIA 3–2Semi-final +75
Vitality 4–1Winner +70
MOUZ 1–2Quarter-final -39
Natus Vincere 0–2Quarter-final -152
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 22 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are Valve's change between its releases of 7 September and 5 October, so other events and ageing move them too.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.