← all matches · BLAST Open Fall 2026 · August 31, 2026
MOUZ vs Falcons
MOUZ beat Falcons 2–1 at BLAST Open Fall 2026 on August 31, 2026 in a BO3 series.
Maps
| # | Map | MOUZ | Falcons | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nuke | 6 | 13 | Falcons |
| 2 | Ancient | 13 | 6 | MOUZ |
| 3 | Inferno | 13 | 3 | MOUZ |
What the result was worth
Our Elo model made Falcons the favourite here, giving MOUZ a 46% chance going in. The upset moved MOUZ's rating +12 points to 1,601 as it stood that day — an unexpected win is worth more than an expected one, which is exactly why the model rates it that way.
MOUZ came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.
These maps, before this series
Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.
| Map | MOUZ | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Nuke | 8–1 | 1–1 |
| Ancient | 2–6 | 2–2 |
| Inferno | 3–1 | 5–3 |
Form going in
MOUZ
Falcons
About these numbers
The Elo figures above are our own opponent-weighted rating, not an official one: every team starts at 1500 and points move from loser to winner in proportion to how surprising the result was, weighted by the map margin. That is why a favourite beating an underdog barely moves the table while an upset swings it hard. The method, and how often the model has been right, are both written up on the prediction accuracy page.
These are the ratings as they stood on the day, replayed from the results available at the time — not the teams' ratings today. That is the point: it is what this result was worth when it happened. For where the two sides stand now, the live ladder is on strength ratings, which uses a shorter recent-form window and will read differently for an older match.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.