// Event · Tier C
Urban Riga Open 7
29 Sep – 30 Sep 2026
LAN
$5,500 prize pool Finished
As our forecast of 28 September saw it, before the event started.
Why it matters
Valve's event weight
0.30
From its VRS weight on HLTV, $5,000, through Valve's curve. It scales what every result here is worth.
Teams in the race known to attend
0
Between 1 and 99% for the Major, on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures.
Timing
33 days before the cut
TodayCut · 2 Nov
Starts in 1 day. Everything here still counts on the day.
Race impact is ours: how many points of Major chance this event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race. For each team, how likely a top-half or a bottom-half finish is here in our runs, and how far apart its chance of the Major is after each. After the cut it is 0.
Who it matters to
No team in the race is expected here.
The field
How it finished
Final
Inner Circle Academy
4–1Europe #69
Semi-final
ENCE
4–1Europe #76
Semi-final
INFURITY
3–3Europe #129
Winners and losers
Inner Circle Academy
4–1Final
—
ENCE
4–1Semi-final
—
KUUSAMO
1–3Quarter-final
—
Aimhaus
0–3Quarter-final
—
HYPERSPIRIT
1–3Quarter-final
—
INFURITY
3–3Semi-final
—
HAVENs
0–3Quarter-final
—
How these numbers are made
- Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 28 September (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
- Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
- Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
- Chance of the Major beside each team: from our forecast of 28 September, given they came, against given the finish they had.
- Points are Valve's change between its releases of 7 September and 5 October, so other events and ageing move them too.
- The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.