From its prize pool, $25,000, through Valve's curve. It scales what every result here is worth.
Teams in the race known to attend
0
Between 1 and 99% for the Major, on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures.
Timing
8 days before the cut
TodayCut · 2 Nov
Everything here still counts on the day.
Race impact is ours: how many points of Major chance this event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race. For each team, how likely a top-half or a bottom-half finish is here in our runs, and how far apart its chance of the Major is after each. After the cut it is 0.
Who it matters to
0 teams in the race known to attend
No team in the race is expected here.
TeamTodayWhen it pays off
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
—
too few runs
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
<1%
0 points
Win it
<1%
0 points
First match: vs FORZE Reload, 24 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
First match: vs BRUTE, 23 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
<1%
0 points
Win it
<1%
0 points
First match: vs BAKS, 23 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
—
too few runs
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
<1%
0 points
Win it
<1%
0 points
First match: vs Acend, 24 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
—
too few runs
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
<1%
0 points
Win it
<1%
0 points
First match: vs Aces, 23 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
<1%
0 points
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
—
too few runs
First match: vs Nuclear TigeRES, 23 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Out before the quarter-finals
—
too few runs
Quarter-final
<1%
0 points
Semi-final
<1%
0 points
Final
<1%
0 points
Win it
—
too few runs
First match: vs Spirit Academy, 24 Oct
Under 1% for the Major in our runs, whatever their finish here. <1% to <1% here.
Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 23 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.